... Erik Seidel, from [1] and other reviews of The Biggest Bluff: How I Learned to Pay Attention, Master Myself, and Win by Maria Konnikova.

(cf OM - Perhaps and Certainty and Doubt (1999-04-27), Underappreciated Ideas (1999-07-06), Epistemological Enginerooms (2000-08-10), Exaggerated Certainty (2002-12-16), False Certainty (2010-03-23), Meta-Ignorance (2012-06-28), Transient, Unreliable, Contingent (2013-06-14), Superforecasting (2016-02-21), Mantra - Uncertainty, Kindness, Peace, Hope (2017-06-29), Mantra - Beliefs Are Knobs, Not Switches (2017-07-03), Forecasting Lessons from Systems Dynamics (2017-07-05), Pearl Harbor - Lessons Learned (2017-12-19), Mantra - Doubt (2018-01-14), Evil Certainty (2019-12-09), ...) - ^z - 2020-08-23